JPMorgan to Replace Goldman as Apple Card Issuer: Earnings, Risks & What Consumers Can Expect

  • JPMorgan Chase will take over the Apple Card from Goldman Sachs in a roughly 24-month, regulator-dependent transition while Mastercard remains the network.
  • The deal shifts more than $20 billion of Apple Card balances to JPMorgan, strengthening its U.S. credit-card scale but adding elevated delinquency and subprime risk.
  • Goldman expects a Q4 2025 EPS lift of about $0.46 from reserve releases and exit accounting, supporting its retreat from loss-making consumer banking.
  • JPMorgan expects to book about $2.2 billion of Q4 2025 credit-loss provisions tied to the forward purchase commitment and integration.
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The Apple-Chase deal marks a strategic inflection point, particularly for Goldman Sachs. After entering consumer banking forayed in 2019 via the Apple Card partnership, Goldman has struggled with profitability and return on equity pressure. Exiting this business signals a refocus on its core strengths in institutional banking and asset/wealth management. The move addresses persistent losses from its Platform Solutions segment and realigns its capital deployment.

For JPMorgan Chase, acquiring the Apple Card portfolio reinforces its dominance in U.S. consumer credit. Adding over $20 billion in balances expands its existing card portfolio massively—particularly in a business where scale and efficient risk management yield competitive advantage. However, the account quality concerns—higher delinquency rates and elevated exposure to subprime borrowers—imply meaningful credit risk. JPMorgan’s $2.2 billion provision for credit losses in Q4 2025 reflects this.

Apple’s position sits in between: the tech firm transitions issuers but retains the product’s visible features—cash-back rates, Mastercard network, and UX—minimizing disruption to its services ecosystem. The ability to maintain customer experience consistency suggests that Apple views brand over bank in this case. Moreover, Apple is also exploring Apple-branded savings account execution with JPMorgan, indicating continued expansion in financial services.

Key strategic implications include:

  • Goldman Sachs moves closer to completing its exit from consumer banking; this could improve its measured profitability and simplify its operational profile for investors.
  • JPMorgan gains scale and bolsters its consumer credit capabilities but must absorb non-trivial credit risk and portfolio integration costs over the two-year transition.
  • Regulatory risks loom, especially concerning timing, customer disclosures, and credit practices. The 24-month transition period leaves performance exposed to macroeconomic volatility.
  • From Apple’s standpoint, supplier/infrastructure changes could enable better terms or innovation, but also introduce dependency risks as card issuance shifts.

Open questions include: How will JPMorgan manage and remediate elevated risk in the transferred portfolio? Will Goldman Sachs’ released reserves translate into a lasting EPS uplift, or are similar charges likely in other consumer lines? What terms has Apple secured in provider/savings relationships to ensure favorable economics at scale? And finally, will regulatory bodies impact the timeline or impose conditions on the transfer, especially with consumer protection concerns?

Supporting Notes
  • Agreement announced Jan 7-8, 2026: JPMorgan Chase will take over the Apple Card program from Goldman Sachs, expected to close in about two years pending regulatory approvals.
  • The transition involves transferring more than $20 billion in Apple Card balances to JPMorgan’s platform.
  • Mastercard remains the payment network; Apple Card users will continue using existing features (e.g., Daily Cash, Apple Card Family, Savings access).
  • Goldman Sachs expects a +$0.46 per share EPS impact in Q4 2025 from the deal, driven by a $2.48 billion loan loss reserve release; partially offset by $2.26 billion in net revenue markdowns and contract termination costs and $38 million in expenses.
  • JPMorgan expects to record a $2.2 billion provision for credit losses in Q4 2025 related to its forward purchase commitment.
  • Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon said the transaction “substantially completes the narrowing of our focus in our consumer business.”
  • Goldman’s Platform Solutions segment has been underperforming and generating losses; this exit helps address that profitability drag.
  • Risks: Elevated delinquency in the Apple Card portfolio; high exposure to subprime borrowers; discount over $1 billion in the purchase price.

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