Morgan Stanley’s Q3 Momentum: Beating Goldman Sachs in Equities & IB, GS Holds Value Edge

Gist
  • Morgan Stanley’s Q3 2025 results showed faster growth in revenue, EPS, equities trading, and investment banking, narrowing the gap with Goldman Sachs.
  • Goldman delivered strong earnings, leading investment banking fees, robust M&A activity, and solid asset and wealth management growth, but lagged MS in equities trading.
  • Valuation favors Goldman with a lower price-to-tangible-book, while Morgan Stanley offers a higher dividend yield and more recurring fee-based revenues.
  • Both banks cleared Fed stress tests and announced large buybacks, leaving investors to weigh MS’s momentum and diversification against GS’s cheaper valuation and IB leadership.
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In Q3 2025, Morgan Stanley posted revenue of $18.2 billion, up ~18% year-over-year, and net income of $4.6 billion, equating to EPS of $2.80, representing roughly a 45% increase relative to Q3 2024. [2] Equities trading revenue rose 35% to about $4.1 billion, outpacing Goldman’s $3.74 billion in equities. [1][3] Investment banking revenue for MS surged 44% YoY to ~$2.1 billion, while Goldman’s investment banking revenues rose ~42–43%. [2][4] These results underscore MS’s strong performance and narrowing gap with GS in core capital markets activities.

Goldman’s Q3 showed solid revenue strength: net revenue of $15.18 billion (+20% YoY), EPS of $12.25 (+46%), ROE at 14.2%, and tangible book growth. [4][5] Its investment banking fees were roughly $2.66 billion, driven by M&A advisory fees (~$1.4 billion) and underwriting fees. Equities net revenue of $3.7 billion (+7% YoY) and FICC (fixed income, currencies, commodities) up 17% helped offset lagging performance in equity derivatives and prime brokerage compared to MS. [4][3] Its Asset & Wealth Management (AWM) division also grew ~17% YoY with record Assets Under Supervision (AUS) of ~$3.45 trillion. [4][7]

From a valuation and capital allocation perspective, Goldman trades at a lower price-to-tangible-book (P/TB) than Morgan Stanley, providing value appeal to investors. [1] Both cleared the 2025 Fed stress tests and have announced sizable dividends and share repurchase programs, with GS authorizations exceeding $40 billion and MS planning ~$20 billion in buybacks. [1] MS’s dividend yield (~2.4–2.6 %) is higher than GS’s (~1.7–1.9 %). [1][2]

Strategic implications: MS is now showing competitive edge in trading and underwriting, and its more balanced model—with wealth and asset management providing recurring revenues—may offer downside insulation during weaker capital markets. GS, meanwhile, is riding high in IB leadership and deal closure, but more vulnerable to cyclicality in equity markets and underwriting revenue. Open questions include whether MS can maintain the momentum, and whether GS can defend its deal pipeline dominance amid macro shocks.

Supporting Notes
  • MS Q3 2025 net revenues: $18.2 billion, up ~18% YoY; net income $4.6 billion; EPS $2.80 vs. $1.88 last year. [2]
  • MS equities trading revenue of $4.12 billion (+35% YoY), exceeding GS’s ~$3.74 billion. [1][3]
  • MS investment banking revenue $2.11 billion (+44% YoY), while GS IB fees up ~42–43%. [2][4]
  • GS revenue $15.18 billion (+20% YoY); EPS $12.25 (+46%); ROE 14.2%. [4][5]
  • GS AWM revenue $4.4 billion (+17% YoY); AUS ~$3.45 trillion. [4][7]
  • Valuation: GS P/TB ~2.07× vs. MS ~3.01×; dividend yield: MS ~2.4–2.6 %, GS ~1.7–1.9 %. [1][3]
  • Both banks cleared the Fed’s 2025 stress tests; GS had ~$43.6B share repurchase authorization, MS reauthorized ~$20B. [1]
  • Goldman advised on >$1 trillion in announced M&A in 2025 YTD; its IB backlog is highest in ~3 years. [4]

Sources

      [3] www.ft.com (Financial Times) — October 15, 2025

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