JPMorgan Boosts EMEA Growth, McKinsey Restructures & SpaceX IPO Looms at $1T

Gist
  • JPMorgan’s new EMEA co-CEOs plan to lift regional revenue by 20% this decade while lobbying for removal of the EU banker bonus cap to stay competitive with London and other hubs.
  • The bank has already lifted bonus limits for London-based material risk takers, using high variable pay as a strategic tool to attract and retain top dealmakers.
  • McKinsey is cutting more than 10% of staff, mainly in non-client-facing and support roles, amid weaker consulting demand, legal costs, and AI-driven disruption.
  • SpaceX is moving toward a potential 2026 IPO after a secondary sale valuing it near $800 billion, positioning it for one of the largest capital raises in market history.
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Recent developments in investment banking and consulting suggest a clear shift in strategy by major financial institutions and high-growth private companies, driven by regulatory headwinds, rising operational cost pressures, and the pull of high-stakes deals. Below are the factors that seem to be shaping the landscape.

Regulatory reform as a lever for competitiveness: JPMorgan’s EMEA leadership under Hillery and Wiltz is acting with consciousness of the regulatory constraints on compensation, especially the EU bonus cap, which restricts variable pay for senior bankers to be no more than twice fixed salary. Wiltz has called for alignment with the UK’s post-Brexit regime, and JPMorgan has already lifted the cap for London-based material risk takers, enabling bonuses up to 10× base salary. [4][5]

These changes are not purely compensation puzzles—they’re strategic tools. By relaxing compensation constraints, banks aim to increase their ability to attract talent, motivate performance, and make assertive pitches to clients. In competitive financial centers, such as London and potentially increasingly the Middle East, this could shift where deal-making and advisory work is centered.

Internal demand and profitability pressures driving restructuring: McKinsey’s workforce reduction—particularly in non-client-facing and specialist technical support roles—reflects more than just cost cutting. It is a response to flattened revenue growth over the past several years, legal liabilities (notably $1.6 billion for opioid-related work), and competitive disruption, including from AI. [10][9] The firm is trimming headcount by over 10% and intensifying performance reviews to reduce underperformance. [9]

This bears watching for investment banks, which are likely benefiting from increased availability of consulting talent. In the immediate term, banks may see an influx of senior consultants, but there is also the challenge of integrating culturally different skillsets and selling capabilities into front-office roles.

Blockbuster IPOs and capital-raisings in private markets:** SpaceX is taking concrete steps toward going public, including a secondary share sale valuing the company near $800 billion and discussions with bankers for a 2026 IPO expecting $25–30+ billion to be raised. [8][6] If realized, this offering could become one of the largest in history and could reset expectations for valuations and capital flows in high-growth sectors like space infrastructure and satellite internet.

Strategic implications:

  • Banks with strong European presence must monitor legal reform in the EU and UK pay regimes—both for talent retention and cost competitiveness.
  • Consulting firms’ layoffs offer banking institutions both opportunities (recruiting talent) and challenges (changing expectations, integration risks).
  • Financial centers like London and regions in the Middle East may see shifting investment banking activity as pay caps are removed, regulatory certainty improves, and infrastructure investment continues.
  • Space-adjacent sectors and high UV (utility valuation) businesses will attract heightened attention from investors—banks in ECM, IPO underwriting, and secondary sales stand to benefit significantly, but must also manage valuation expectations and execution risk.

Open questions:

  • Will the EU’s legislative bodies actually move to repeal or loosen the bonus cap, and on what timetable?
  • Can JPMorgan and peers grow EMEA revenue by 20% amidst geopolitical risk, inflation, and regulation?
  • How will McKinsey’s talent shedding alter labor availability in banking, especially for advisory sales, operations, and technology?
  • If SpaceX IPO happens as proposed, how will underwriters and public markets price risk across its diversified operations beyond Starlink and launch services?
Supporting Notes
  • JPMorgan has appointed Conor Hillery and Matthieu Wiltz as co-CEOs for its Europe, Middle East and Africa operations, succeeding Filippo Gori, with a goal to grow revenue in EMEA by 20% by the end of the decade. [1][6]
  • Wiltz publicly urged the EU to align with the UK’s lifting of the bonus cap, arguing the EU was at risk of becoming “the outsider” behind global financial centers. [4][1]
  • JPMorgan raised its bonus-cap ceiling for London-based material risk bearers from 2× fixed salary to 10×, following the UK’s removal of EU bonus cap constraints. [5][1]
  • McKinsey has reduced its workforce from over 45,000 at the end of 2023 to approximately 40,000 as of mid-2025, representing over 10% cuts, largely via layoffs in support, back-office, technical specialist units and tougher performance reviews. [10][9]
  • McKinsey leaders are discussing a plan to cut about 10% of headcount in non-client facing departments over the next 18-24 months—amounting to several thousand roles. [9]
  • SpaceX approved a secondary share sale at $421 per share totaling up to approximately $2.56 billion, valuing the company at ~$800 billion, while planning for a possible IPO in 2026 that could raise more than $25 billion and potentially value it at over $1 trillion. [8][6]
  • J.P. Morgan’s global chair of investment banking, Jamie Grant—who joined in 1980 and helped build its IB business including its first IPO activity—will retire early next year, marking the end of a long tenure. [1]

Sources

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